Santorum moves on to New Hampshire

From The Daily Beast: Can Santorum Compete in New Hampshire and Beyond? by Lois Romano

(My Editorial Comments will be indicated by [EC])

Rick Santorum’s New Hampshire operation was over the moon Tuesday night as their man unexpectedly soared to a photo finish with Mitt Romney for first place in the Iowa caucuses, finally coming in a tight second by just eight votes. But it will take more than sheer joy and political dexterity for his small organization here to lift him from fifth place in the Granite State.

[EC: I agree. New Hampshire is an odd state. It has always been the bastion of conservatism surrounded, on all sides, by socialists. For the past several years the state has become much more liberal. Recently though, there has been blowback & a push to return to conservatism.]

The next test for Santorum now is whether he can realistically pivot his stunning Iowa success quickly into a New Hampshire surge—and beyond. Single-state strategies rarely are effective long-term, and many Republicans say this is no exception. Santorum has had neither the money nor the organization to get traction here.

[EC: Yes, and many of those saying that are just “Republicans”, not conservatives. They will do anything they can to torpedo Santorum’s campaign. Just watch. The “Republicans” want Romney, just as they wanted McCain. McCain, as it turns out, just endorsed Romney today. What a shocker. By the way, the democrats also want Romney.]

Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire, as well as millions of dollars to go the distance. And third-place Iowa finisher Rep. Ron Paul has an army of well-organized, messianic volunteers to propel him.

[EC: Romney does have a fortune to spend. He also has ‘Super-Pac’ money that will do the dirty work for him while he disavows any connection to them. Paul is an enigma. He has his minions that would follow him off a cliff. What I think is an interesting dichotomy; small government

This could be fun


Ron Paul & his ‘Occupy’ loving, hippy, want everything for free supporters. Do they not know he wants to shut down all the give-away governmental departments?]

In the most recent public-opinion survey in the state, Santorum was the choice of only 5 percent of the vote. He has had no money to run paid advertisements, and now he can count on his rivals to come after him with big guns.
[EC: 2-3 weeks ago Santorum had little more support in the polls in Iowa.]

“Senator Santorum is about to discover the wrath of the super PAC!” said Patrick Griffin, a senior fellow at the Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College: “Intense scrutiny, tough ads, and an uphill battle to raise money, continue to deploy staff, and search for a significant number of social conservative voters that are simply not as plentiful in New Hampshire as in Iowa.”

[EC: Mr. Griffin is right about the whole Social Conservative thing. It is imperative Santorum break out of that mold. He must become the conservative choice, not just the social conservative. As an aside, Mr. Griffin was a republican political strategist prior to joining Saint Anselm College. By sheer coincidence, one of his clients was Mitt Romney. Just an observation.]

Still, while some of his rivals are largely skipping New Hampshire and heading straight to the more conservative South Carolina for its primary on Jan. 21, Santorum has made it clear he has every intention of riding his wave into New Hampshire. “Game on,” Santorum told his cheering supporters Tuesday in Iowa.

With an attentive media contingent in tow, the former Pennsylvania senator hits the ground running with a two-hour town-hall meeting Wednesday night that will be followed by at least 10 more before Tuesday’s primary. He has spent considerable time here—and has an enthusiastic core of supporters and volunteers in place.

[EC: He is garnering more support here. I personally know he has many more volunteers. I’ve had more than a few calls from already. Some are even reading this blog.]

“I’ve spent more time in New Hampshire and done more events than anybody but Jon Huntsman. And the same thing with South Carolina,” he said. “We feel very, very good that we’ve got the organization. And money is coming in better than it’s ever come in. And [after Iowa] we suspect we’ll have the resources to be able not just to compete in New Hampshire, but to compete all the way through.”

Indeed, his staff is banking that his Iowa success will generate ample funds and supporters to help him push forward. In addition, Santorum will generate much free media coverage.

“We know we can build on this momentum,” says Bill Cahill, a co-chair of Santorum’s New Hampshire campaign. “We’re going to make it happen with what we’ve got. We’re not going to staff up. Look, if he can come in at third place, it would be a phenomenon and spectacular. And we think we can make it happen.”

[EC: He just may do that. There is a lot more buzz about Santorum up here. People actually know who he is now.]

Cahill dismissed the notion that New Hampshire voters may find Santorum too socially conservative with his oppositions to abortion and same-sex marriage. “Conservatives play well in New Hampshire, and his positions on trade, tax policy, and national security are appealing. There’s a very large Catholic and ethnic populations here … The old Reagan coalition is still around for us.”

[EC: Cahill was right to dismiss the notion of anti-abortion & homosexual marriage. The only reason they are still intact is thanks to New Hampshire’s democrat Governor’s veto pen. Santorum must push hard his fiscal conservative policies. Show he is a well-rounded & most of all principled & ethical conservative leader. Push his foreign policy, his support for Israel. Remind people how great and good America is under true conservative leadership.]

Santorum Picking up Steam

The latest poll provides confirmation of what everyone in Iowa is talking about — former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum’s timely surge.

As in the NFL, you know the best time to get hot is at the end of the season, heading into the playoffs. Politically speaking, we’re heading into the playoffs.

Last weeks game no longer matters. You make it into the playoffs and you have a shot at the Superbowl. Iowa is the Wild Card game. Win, place well, or go home.

If Santorum does as well as the polls are now showing, he could provide the voters with something they haven’t had as yet — an articulate, socially conservative opponent who isn’t a moderate, a progressive or a cranky old man and has a picture-perfect family life to rival Romney’s.

He can’t be painted as a Washington insider despite the 12 years he spent there as a Senator. Why? Because he wasn’t a “deal” maker. He spent his time pushing conservative causes. Santorum sponsored the partial birth abortion bill, championed welfare reform and Federalist Society-approved judicial appointments. He’s a hawk on defense, favors lower tax rates and wears his faith proudly. What’s not to like?

Up until now, people questioned if he could win, citing his devastating Senatorial reelection loss by 18% in 2006. What they don’t account for, in 2006, is the overall animosity toward overspending republicans & the “throw them all out” mentality. Santorum simply got swept up with the trash. It was beyond his control. He has had a difficult time raising money & garnering support because of it.

He has also been unfairly tagged with the moniker that he is just the “Social Conservative”. His conservative stance on fiscal issues, defense, gun rights, the repeal of Obamacare, etc., has been overshadowed by his social conservatism.

Republican strategist Mike Murphy predicted on Dec. 29. “He can keep rising, could even catch Mitt.”

Given the expectations in Iowa, Santorum need only make it into the same sentence with frontrunners Romney and Texas Representative Ron Paul, whose cranky, conspiracy-prone and isolationist views should not carry him far beyond Iowa.

More recent good news for Santorum is that Rick Perry just launched a negative radio ad this week in Iowa, specifically targeting Santorum. One doesn’t waste funds on a commercial attacking a loser.

Santorum is so confident of emerging from the pile in Iowa that he just committed money for television ads in New Hampshire, which votes on Jan. 10.

Just a few days ago I wrote an election update stating Santorum’s bid could be over. Things are, shall I say, quite fluid.

Attribution: Bloomberg