from the American Spectator:
Donald Trump Is Again Going to Win
I do not like being wrong. Looking back on the journalism of the last few years, I have concluded this makes me one weird journalist. Most journalists, in fact most commentators, seem to prefer to be wrong — spectacularly, melodramatically wrong.
In 2013, when I met Donald Trump for the first time, I concluded that he could be a successful politician. More than that, I concluded that if he ran for president he would win. He was not like any other politician I have known. He was smart, aggressive, and he knew enough about the issues to get by. That is true of a lot of other pols, but there was something more to Donald. He was a showman and a strategist. I have now, after seven years of watching him, concluded he has still more gifts. He has the energy of a great athlete and a voice that can only be a gift from God.
I concluded early on that Donald would win in 2016. I conclude in 2020 that he will win again. I say this based on observing the facts. As I have said, I do not like to be wrong. The vast majority of journalists and commentators do not care. They hide in the herd in which they travel. If they are wrong on November 3 they and many of their colleagues will just not talk about it, and few will have the bad taste to mention their error in public.
If you doubt that I was one of the very few who picked Donald as the winner in 2016 even when he was as far behind as he has been the last few weeks, I can understand. The journalists of the herd never acknowledged their error. Seth Lipsky of the New York Sun, of course, got it right, but then he often does. And over at BuzzFeed Ben Smith got it right. In fact, BuzzFeed is worth quoting, for Smith now writes on media in general for the New York Times, and the media is his beat. Said Smith, “It’s easy enough to find editors these days who say they saw Donald Trump coming, hard to find ones who are telling the truth about that. By my estimation perhaps the only one who really did is R. Emmett Tyrrell…. ” Well, Ben, there were two of us. Jeff Lord got it right too, and CNN fired him.