by: the Common Constitutionalist
Is anyone as breathless as I, wondering what John Boehner will do regarding next month’s continuing resolution battle?
Will he or won’t he… cave into Democrat and squishy Republican pressure or grow a spine and finally say no to excessive government spending and the funding of Obamacare?
Oh, there’s a third option, which Republican leadership usually takes: kick the can. Surprise! That is the option Boehner hinted at last Thursday.
The Hill reported that Boehner “wants to push through a temporary spending measure that incorporates automatic cuts, upping the ante for a September budget showdown.”
Oh no… not a showdown? I hope no one gets hurt like at the O K Corral?
Boehner said: “The president’s threat to shut down the government if we implement his sequester is not a defensible position. The American people won’t stand for it, and were not going to be swayed by it.”
After all these years Boehner still doesn’t understand “The One”. Obama will be more than happy to shut down the government – or at least threatened to, knowing full well weak kneed Republicans will cave in the 11th hour.
This is the way the game is played and the only ones who don’t know the rules are the Republicans; at least the leadership.
Reuters reported Boehner’s conference call with rank-and-file Republicans thusly: “on the call, Boehner reminded Republicans of the political backlash their party suffered when the government shut down in 1995 – 1996, according to one person on call.”
Boehner was said to have sketched out a plan in which Republicans would pass a short-term measure to fund the government until around December while insisting on keeping in place steep cuts in spending known as the “sequester”.
I stand corrected. I guess Boehner does know the rules. Obama threatens to shut down the government and Boehner folds, kicking the can down the road.
But, you may ask, what’s the alternative? We can’t shut down the government. Don’t you remember what happened in 1995 and ‘96? We (Republicans) suffered greatly!
Well, as shutdowns go – Mark Levin began his radio show at 6 PM last Friday rhetorically asking what happened an hour or so ago. His answer was that the government shut down, as it does every weekend and every holiday. Did you notice? Of course not.
But that’s not like the shutdowns of ‘95 and ‘96. President Clinton hammered the Republicans all the way to the 1996 elections.
So what is Boehner afraid of? He’s afraid of losing the House in the 2014 midterms – that’s what.
So what did actually happened back then?
In the 1994 midterm elections the Republicans scored massive victories in both the House and Senate. They picked up 8 seats in the Senate and 54 in the House. This allowed them to control both chambers for the first time in 40 years. Then Clinton, not Gingrich shut down the government over, what else, spending.
It is recalled that the Republicans got destroyed in the polls, post shut down. (That’s what Boehner’s really afraid of).
They may have, yet when it came to vote in November of ‘96, the Republicans lost only 9 seats in the House. Remember – two years earlier they gained 54, so it had no effect. In the Senate, the Republicans actually gained 2 more seats. This in a year when Clinton crushed the moderate Bob Dole.
Republicans won big and ‘94, stuck to their guns, disregarded the gloom and doom predictions and were rewarded for it.
So we can choose to believe all the hype and scare tactics of the moderate “chattering class”, or we may learn from real history – not revisionist.